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Assessment >
2007 Retention Patterns
Introduction
Retention is a major key to the
success of Mountain State University (MSU). In addition to
getting the students, the University must also keep the
students. Retention is also a measure by which the quality of a
school is judged. U.S. News stated that the higher proportion
of freshmen who return to campus the following year and
eventually graduate indicated how well the school did in
offering the classes and services students needed to succeed.
In looking at retention it is
important to understand that there are two important time
periods for analyzing retention data. These two periods are
retention from fall to the following spring semester (fall to
spring) and the retention from fall of one year to the fall
semester of the next year (fall to fall).
There are also several groups that
have been identified as the key indicators in retention
reporting. MSU is required to reports retention rates to the
National Center for Educational Statistics (NCES) through their
Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS).
Although the requirement for retention rates has only been
required for the last two years, their indicator group is
defined as the cohort of first-time bachelor’s (or equivalent)
degree-seeking undergraduates and they require separate
retention rates for full-time and part-time students.
In analyzing the historical
retention rates for MSU, there are five distinct groups that
have been used in the past as key indicators. These groups are:
1. Undergraduate first-time
students (fall to spring)
2. All undergraduate students
3. First-time, full-time
undergraduate students
4. First-time, full-time degree
seeking undergraduate students; and
5. First-time, full-time degree
seeking undergraduate students with less than 27 credit hours.
Analysis
The IPEDS retention rates of
full-time, first-time bachelor’s (or equivalent)
degree-seeking undergraduates have continued to decline over the
last three years, ranging from 61% in
2003-2004 to 45% in the 2005-2006 academic year. The rates of
the part-time, first-time bachelor’s (or equivalent)
degree-seeking undergraduates increased from 32% in
2003-2004 to 43% in the 2004-2005 academic year but fell to 34%
in 2005-2006.
The retention rate for
undergraduate first-time students has decreased both in the fall
to spring and in the fall to fall. Of the 442 first-time
undergraduate students enrolled in the fall of 2006, 246
returned in the spring of 2006 for a 56% retention rate. This
is down from the 61% retention rate for last year. The rate for
the students enrolled in the fall of 2005 who returned in the
fall of 2006 also went down. Of the 4,379 students enrolling in
fall of 2005, 157 returned the following fall for a 41%
retention rate. This retention rate is also down from the
46% last year.
The overall retention rate for all
undergraduate students in the fall to spring has increased
from 67% to 69% with only 2,563 out of 3,738 students returning. The
fall to fall timeframe remained constant at 50% with 1,786 out of
3,544 students
returning. Since this group includes all undergraduate
students, it provides an insight as to how well MSU does at
retaining students in general.
The first-time, full-time
undergraduate student retention rates have declined over that
last four years both in the fall to spring and the fall to fall
timeframe. The fall to spring decreased from 68% in the
previous year
to 62% for fall 2006 to spring 2006. This meant that only 185 of the
299
students returned. The fall to fall retention rate declined
from 50% in previous year to 45% this year because only 118 of
the 261 students returned.
The first-time, full-time degree
seeking undergraduate retention rates decreased both in the fall
to spring and the fall to fall timeframes. The fall to spring
saw a dramatic decrease from 68% to 46% with 181 of the 394 students
returning while the fall to fall saw a decrease from 51% to 45%
with 118 out of 260 students returning.
The first-time, full-time degree
seeking undergraduate students with less than 27 credit hours
decreased both in the fall to spring and the fall to fall. The
fall to spring fell from 63% to 58% with 171 out of 294 students
returning. The fall to fall saw a decrease from
48% to
40% with 104 out of 260 students returning. Students with less
than 27 credit hours would be considered freshmen and it appears
that MSU is not improving the retention of freshmen.
The following charts show a
graphical representation of the historical retention rates in
each of the key indicator groups and timeframes discussed. The
percentages that have increased over last year’s have been
highlighted in green and
those that fell have been highlighted in
red. If there was no
change, the percentage have not been highlighted.
In an effort to determine where we
are losing students, detail information on retention by program
has been provided for your review. This information shows which
programs are losing freshmen (first-time undergraduates) between
the fall semester and the following spring semester. It also
provided information on all students (undergraduate and
graduate) lost between
fall to fall and fall to spring. Students who graduated are not
included in this detail information.
Please review the information
provided by the links below.
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